UK General Election polls: Tories set for landslide victory over Corbyn's Labour on eve of snap vote

Final polls: Theresa May's Tories are set for a landslide victory, polls suggest
Fiona Simpson7 June 2017
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The Tories look set to take a landslide victory over Labour according to the final polls on the eve of the snap General Election.

Despite suggestions on Wednesday morning that Jeremy Corbyn’s Labour had slashed the gap leading the UK towards a hung parliament, a poll by ICM for the Guardian put Theresa May’s Tories ahead by a huge 12-point lead.

The poll showed the Tories on 46 per cent, one point higher than on Monday while Labour’s result remained unchanged on 34 per cent.

Tim Farron’s Liberal Democrats were down one point to seven per cent and Ukip on five per cent.

The Green’s result dropped by one point to two per cent.

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The results were echoed by a Comres poll, for the Independent, which suggested the Tories held a 10 point lead over Labour.

However, it showed May’s party down three per cent on previous surveys on 44 per cent and Labour up one point on 34 per cent.

Farron’s party appeared to be up one point on nine per cent, Ukip garnered five per cent of the vote, leaving the SNP on four per cent and the Greens on two per cent.

According to Comres, half of 2015 UKIP voters say they will now vote Conservative, potentially adding two million votes, or around 6 per cent points to the Tory vote share.

The Liberal Democrats are losing voters to both major parties, with two fifths of their 2015 voters saying they will now either vote Labour or Conservative.

Earlier on Wednesday, a complex constituency-by-constituency estimate by YouGov suggested the Conservatives could emerge with just 304 seats in the Commons after Thursday’s General Election – down 26 from the end of the previous parliament.

The model suggests Labour could reach 266 seats, a gain of 37, with the Scottish National Party on 46 (down eight) and the Lib Dems on 12 (up three). Such a result would deny any party an absolute majority, which requires 323 MPs.

However, there remains wide variation between the findings of different pollsters, with the latest snapshots significantly more favourable to Jeremy Corbyn's party than other recent surveys.

A YouGov poll for the Evening Standard last week found more voters in London say they think Labour’s leader would make a better Prime Minister than Mrs May. The poll on Thursday gave the Labour a huge 17-point lead over the Conservatives in London.

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